Hi all! At the end of each decade, approximately the same thing happens – various analysts are trying to predict the future, simultaneously competing with each other in the absurdity of their ideas about it. And if at first they still can somehow believe, hoping that they have some hidden knowledge inaccessible to the rest, then by the end of the illusion cycle they are finally dispelled. And then I thought: “Hay, why can they, but we can’t?". So the initiative of the time capsule Stopgame, in which users can leave their forecasts about what awaits the video game industry in the next decades. I invite everyone to take part in the comments, and I, being the initiator, will start right now!
Degradation of subscription services. The success of Netflix provoked a real boom in signal services – now many companies are trying to snatch their piece of cake, and the game industry was no exception. Why is it beneficial for them? We will analyze the example of EA Axess.
*Grandmother’s repentance against the background*
In other words, these subscriptions have a miraculous property to quietly take money straight from your pocket, which likes them to such a beautiful being as a leech. Cute, isn’t it? The anticipation of your question is – this line is located at the bottom of the main page of the EA Access site, so everything is legal.
However, the main threat of signature services is the signature services themselves, or rather, all of their growing numbers. One or two subscriptions – this is not so scary, but ten or more? In the end, such severe competition will strangle most of the services, which will either be closed or degraded, when they continue to maintain only in order to minimize reputation losses. What will become with the games that were received in closed services? I’m afraid you will have no choice but to wave their pen for goodbye.
VR devices will become a full-fledged platform. The insufficient popularity of VR devices has several reasons: technological imperfection, high cost and almost complete absence of games that could promote this platform. However, the last point intended to fix Valve, and something tells me that Half-Life: Alyx is only the beginning, especially after very good sales indicators of VR devices immediately after the announcement.
In addition, progress does not stand still. Not so long ago, in Oculus, they managed to teach their VR shits to read the movements of the fingers without controllers. So you look, they will make something else with the wires and dimensions of the device itself! After two of the three problems are resolved, the rest will also want to enjoy the fruits of someone else’s success, so the money is overlooking the river. Most likely, only a few companies will survive this race, as happened with the consoles at one time.
Half-Life 3 exit! And this is not a joke! If earlier the chance of the long -awaited continuation of the adventure of a physicist with a crowbar was very ghostly, now this series can be the main flagship for VR! The reasons for this are very prosaic – the legacy of the Golden Age of the company no longer brings the same amount of money as before. This was actively contributed to the imposed competition with EGS, the decline in the popularity of Dota 2, Artifact and the like. The only reasonable way out is to create a new heritage, thanks to which it will be possible to hibernate again for a couple of years.
Developer strikes. And you knew that the development of video games is not a lesson for the faint of heart? Constant processing, health problems, low salaries (especially considering the curious fact that developers drive the states for life, so that they are even stronger than their places), the fear of dismissal (very justified, by the way), etc.D. Not at all like a dream of dreams, right? Now the industry is kept only on pink glasses of enthusiasts who do not know about the real state of things. Those who are ready to fight for their rights are easy to replace newcomers who are ready with even greater hardships, in order to join what they admired all their lives – to develop a video game.
Of course, such a state of affairs cannot last forever, because any patience comes to an end. The gaming press began to be more and more actively interested in the backstage of development, which means that the number of people who want to plunge with their heads into this hole from corporate interests will be reduced, granting the industry a chance to heal. Maybe these poor people even be able to knock out a break to cry ..
Closing BioWare. Alas, this is an almost inevitable outcome. Apparently, they do not believe in the success of Dragon Age 4 even in the studio itself, since there is a serious personnel turnover. However, it is difficult to blame them-based on the investigation of Kotaku, the project has already managed to redo in accordance with the wishes of the publisher, which is fatly hinting at another game-service. The next failure risks becoming the last for BioWare, because EA is not famous for either mercy or sentimentality.
Stadia 2.0. The launch of this cloud game service from Google can be safely called a deafening failure … Given that silence is sometimes a deafening. They have already begun to forget about Stadia, despite the fact that only a couple of months have passed since its release. During this time, she managed to disappoint users around the world, including relevant media. In this boat cocktail, you can find technical problems and too long a hidden distribution model, as well as a banal lack of games, including them far from the best adaptation. However, the main hope of Stadia is the prospects of the cloud gaming technology itself – many industry figures see great potential in it. If Google is retreating now, then the company is unlikely to be able to catch up competitors in the foreseeable future.
Strengthening the influence of "Celestial". About one and a half billion people live in China, so there is nothing surprising in the fact that the game industry is extremely interested in its market. This trend has existed for a long time, but the coming decade promises to be even more fruitful in this regard. We are on the threshold of displacement of accents towards China, which can bring as a good: the industry will receive more funds for its development, and Chinese companies will be able to reach the international level (unfortunately, including those that make certain clones and donate grindows); so the harm, given the censorship of the millstones will have to go through projects.
New monetization models. Lutboxes went out of fashion, but do not rush to celebrate – they will definitely come to a new generation. So far, publishers are content with military passes and the fact that the “surprise mechanics” have not yet been banned in countries that are the main market. However, be sure that the best twilight geniuses from the marketing departments of large publishers are already racking their heads over the next way to assign your money for themselves. In the meantime, they only have fun, offering children from three years old to play basketball in their casino simulator.
World of Warcraft 2.0. Kings do not rule forever, friendly. After the dizzying success of the classics, there was no doubt that in the coming years we are waiting for the return of Burning Crusade and Wrath of the Lich King. However, the actual WOW things are far from so rosy – Battle for Azeroth could not reinforce a fading interest in the game for a long time. The new addition of Shadowlands is designed to arrange a soft restart, again reducing the number of levels to 60 and optimizing the interaction with the content accumulated over many years, but this, in my opinion, is still not enough. If Blizzard does not take more decisive actions, then Wow himself may be the Wow killer, or rather his earlier versions.
BRAYSING STOPGAME! This is what we have been waiting for so long! The glorious day when we get the opportunity to edit comments! The day when the tools for writing blogs will be expanded! The day when the rating system is changed!
For Sim everything! I hope that this initiative will appeal to the site regulars. And let our forecasts in ten years will cause only smiles, it is definitely worth!
The best comments
Ubisoft will not release normal “heroes” and, at the best case, will finally sell someone the right of a year after 3-5.
Ubisoft will look at the Cyberpunk 2077 and either make a similar game, or pull the best mechanics from there for the next Assassin’s Creed iteration.
Starfield from the gazebo on the release will be a complete hell, but it is possible by the forces of the community or will simply be brought to a playable state with time if Bethesda is at least a little interesting to their own reputation.
On the release s.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2 there will be epic srachi.
Obviously GTA VI. Either in the Asian setting, or will hit the retro (perhaps return to Vice City).
By SG:
1) Kungurych will begin to make reviews
2) Vasya will live in the mansion
3) Solod will get old
4) Flynn will release its thousandth video
5) UES everything is in China
6) Gleb will retire, but still remains on SG, because the most brutal voice
7) Denis will appear only on streams, the cuts of the degraf-squad will reached an unprecedented level of tar, “difficulties of translation” will not be so, because Denis finally burned out after Last of US 2
8) Lenya will buy all games in Steam
9) Makovev will be 15
10) The hair dryer will become the historian of the All -SG and will record a joint album with Vasya, Kungur and Daur
11) Daur will release the 6th part of the final
12) Madam is still top and heshes the IP on Legacy of Kain
13) Pauli will resurrect "on rewinding"
14) Elman still saws the IS Sorce
15) Milyazev is still the most modest of the SG
16) Kulakov will release a Mordhau review (only because, they collected Donat a goal on Le-Man)
From the global they will resurrect and kill the “retro”, a lot of good headings will open and close and of course, the rating system will be changed.
Well, you know, I also know how to bang so when everything is clear. And you try to guess whether in the new decade another vidos of the history of the Final Fantasy series.
2 Zulin-mines + salary on https://wilberforceinstitute.uk/casino-free-games-no-deposit ag.ru
Kulakov syndrome
Given that the redsem of Stopgame is the last on the list, we are lying in the coming decade.)
Well, let’s try:
1) Blizzard decline – excessive influence Activision will lead to the creation of “money”, not good games;
2) the exit TES VI or Starfield will be unsuccessful, as a result of which the other will be frozen/moved;
3) Starfield – Fallout in space;
4) the cloud will not become a replacement for consoles or a divine platform;
5) the crisis of the gaming industry due to subscriptions;
6) refusal to use the subscription model of monetization by medium -sized companies (UBI and similar);
7) Ubisoft will continue to make conveyors;
8) HL Alyx will become popular … in narrow circles;
9) the output of several large projects is exclusive for VR to the 24th;
10) the next mass strike of games developers;
11) GTA VI will be cooperative from the very beginning (without a single game);
12) gradual loss of EGS and Fortnite popularity;
13) the transformation (to the 30th) of mobile gaming into a console, that is: the port of AAA games unchanged, the similarity of the input method with console (gamepad);
14) Discord will buy some company and it will slide (Tencent does not count).
1) the new editor-in-chief (2022-2025)-I do not think that Dima Kungurov will sit in this post forever;
3) the video is exclusive for the site;
4) Blogs are ineffective;
5) will leave Twitch;
By the end of 2022, I will most likely stop watching SG, I will continue by the end of 2023 / beginning 2024.
It will be funny to read it.
So, wait. A 3/4/5?
However, the main threat of signature services is the signature services themselves, or rather, all of their growing numbers. One or two subscriptions – this is not so scary, but ten or more? In the end, such severe competition will strangle most of the services, which will either be closed or degraded, when they continue to maintain only in order to minimize reputation losses.
I think everyone forgets about another possibility – merger. It is very likely that in conditions of tough competition, those of the companies that are smaller and less successful will decide to combine efforts.
progress does not stand still. Not so long ago, in Oculus, they managed to teach their VR shits to read the movements of the fingers without controllers. So you look, they will make something else with the wires and dimensions of the device itself! After two of the three problems are resolved, the rest will also want to enjoy the fruits of someone else’s success, so the money is overlooking the river.
What sooner or later VR will become publicly available is clear. The question is whether this will happen in the next ten years. I’m not sure.
If Blizzard does not take more decisive actions, then Wow himself may be the Wow killer, or rather his earlier versions.
And I would play GTASHA in the Asian setting, but I do not think that the Rocksters will be able to convey madness charm, for example, Japanese entourage.
I read your blog, it became very sad, against the background of so not joyful forecasts, such a sphere entertainment How Games also has its own problems.
I don’t know what the future of the games will be, perhaps real masterpieces will be waiting for us, striking visual styles, incredible plots, and gameplay, the creators of which learned from the mistakes of their predecessors, were able to polish their creations.
And perhaps on the contrary, everything will simplify, for the sake of the conventional output, and the audience will not understand what is trying to "watch above".
Everything changes rapidly, and as for me, it’s like guessing on coffee grounds. But still it is worth thinking what the future of the gaming industry will be.
I am making only a prediction for the future:
In The Elder Scrolls 6, mods/mods will be prohibited will be harshly modified and sold for a fee.
In recent years, the Bethesda studio has demonstrated a frantic desire to monetize every training ground of its games, deciding on the most vile and unpopular tricks. In this, the company keeps up with the entire AAA-Industry, which increases control over the released content to such a level that no one can prevent them from getting additional profit. And although the first attempt at the massive input of paid mods in Skyrim was met with hostility in the game community and therefore failed, few people noticed that in Fallout 4 the developers successfully introduced a paid fashion store and drove it to the audience. So the system is already ready for implementation in new projects from Bethesda.
It is clearly visible that modern AAA-corporations really do not like modifications for their games, we constantly hear about various judicial claims towards enthusiast teams, and not only those who are trying to turn the game with copyright violations. Because the mod potentially opens a loophole for the player to bypass internal purchases, paid barriers to access to content, etc.D. Even the current The Elder Scrolls 5 Skyrim: Special Edition blocks the receipt of acutions if the game is inflated for the game. Even graphic.
And if earlier it seemed that Bethesda would never go for this, now we have Fallout 76. Just Fallout 76. This "game" openly demonstrates the level of falling standards of this company. Even now, after a series of scandals and sales failure, they continue to squeeze the last penny out of the game, introducing content for an intra -game store and subscription.
Therefore, my prediction is this. The new part of the scrolls will be released on the new engine, which will be hard to modify. Either on the old, but with fastened systems for the "capture" of mods. And if there will be mods for the game, then only in the in -game store.
Hmm, let’s try. I think I myself will be surprised more if something from the list will come true below, but still:
1. BioWare will close or merge with another company. The new DA, even after the restart, will be not without flaws (due to the influence of EA itself), which actually will serve as a reason for the disposal of the company. One way or another, the new Mass Effect will go out under the new leadership with the new team and will differ from the usual Action-RPG, which was the series. The exit will be in the middle of the next generation, year in 2023-2024.
2. Ubisoft will release the new Splinter Cell and Prince of Persia in the next few years. STAMS about Sam Fisher will be without Sam Fisher on the main role, he will be present only as a teacher/generator of the flashbacks. The prince will restart like God of War, t.e. There will be a strongly different gameplay with an emphasis on the plot and a back on a powerful trilogy.
3. Xbox wins the start of a new console generation. Sales of the new Xbox Series X are much higher than that of PS5, it is not the least due to a powerful advertising company from Microsoft starting with E3 2020 and the lack of exclusives, as well as a set of subscriptions for every taste. For Sony, refusing to speak on E3 and holding your own shows is not the most successful solution.
4. Microsoft and Sony will make a game on the network of free. Subscribing services will only give access to monthly games, additional places in the cloud and discounts. Sony also begins to release its exclusives on a PC and generally becomes more open platform.
5. Sony will return to the portable console market. The conditional PSP2 will be many times more powerful than the Nintendo Switch, and this will be the main advantage of the console. There will also be exclusives. In addition to a large line of her own games, she will maintain a striming with PS5.
6. Bloodborne II will be released in 2022-2023 on PS5 and PC.
7. A game will be released that will receive 99 points for Metacritic and thereby equal to Ocarina of Time, but it will not be another Zelda. Perhaps the game will be a sequel to the famous franchise, or completely new IP. But not from Nintendo.
And here I will predict this – a new console player. So far, many have had attempts to join the console market to three whales (T -shirts, Sony, Ninka), so far unsuccessfully. But sooner or later, a murmur of a console kit should appear (and this, I hope, is not a stage, sorry).
Well, Ace Combat 8 or Assault Horizon 2 will be.
10 years will pass.
I have spoken.
In fact, my vanguration:
1) Fable 4 will come out and something that can be called Half Life 3.
2) Starfield will be very crooked, but will become a very popular game.
3) CD Projekt Red will start rolling.
4) Larian Studios will go to aa.
5) exclusives will begin to go to naught.
6) Kulakov will release the second part of the IC in AC.
Now, without sudden movements, remove the account, calmly close the site, and do not go to this site for at least a week.